If the economy looks fine on paper, then why does it feel like everything is quietly falling apart? And that's because the recession isn't coming. It's already here. The data just hasn't caught up yet. In this video, I'll break down: • Why recessions are always declared retroactively • Why record credit card debt and a collapsing savings rate aren't accidents • The shift happening in our economy • How the official numbers are designed to hide what's actually happening 👉Complex topics, simple breakdowns. Join my free weekly newsletter to stay ahead of what's actually happening in markets: https://casualmarkets.co/subscribe 👉If one video wasn’t enough, I post on Instagram every day: https://www.instagram.com/casuallyfinance/ All illustrations, visuals, and animations in this video are original and hand-drawn by a freelance artist. Disclaimer: The information provided in this video and on this channel (collectively, the “Content”) is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or investment strategy. Investing involves risk and you must do your own research. Nothing in the Content should be interpreted as creating a fiduciary relationship, financial advisory relationship, or client relationship of any kind. The host, the channel, and all affiliated entities expressly disclaim any and all liability for any direct or consequential loss or damage arising directly or indirectly from the use of, reliance upon, or interpretation of the Content. By viewing or interacting with the Content, you acknowledge and agree to these terms and release the host and all related parties from any and all claims related to your reliance on the information provided. #economics #finance #recession #investing
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Looking forward to the third once-in-a-lifetime recession in my still limited lifetime!
I don't need open my eyes. I just have to open my wallet.
Is this a recession indicator?
But Pam Bondi said the Dow was over 50,000!
I heard a statistic recently that 50% of all consumer spending is done by the top 10%, and if that's not a sign of a sick economy I don't know what is.
What a great time to shut down 20 percent of global shipping! 👍
Who could have seen this coming? Oh wait, lots of us!
Working in the healthcare sector, a recession indicator is lack of turnover on nursing floors. When difficult floors with toxic environments and unpredictable acuity start becoming fully staffed and staying that way, it indicates that nurses aren't feeling confident about their ability to get a better job or that there just aren't jobs available and they're taking whatever they can get. Turnover rates for nurses in 2009 were extremely low after the reality of the recession had kicked in as a historical example.
It's crazy how this depressing topic is presented with so much clarity & honesty, but somehow watching this makes you feel better...
The 2020s are mirroring the 1920s in a scarily accurate way. We had a global pandemic at the very beginning followed by worsening economic conditions for normal people while the wealthy get wealthier largely driven by the stock market and finance, rapid technological innovation, political extremism rising, and a series of small regional wars highlighting the instability of the global order. Let us hope that our current leadership is wiser than our great great grandparents.
Ghost economy. The only reason things haven't collapsed is because everyone's fucking delusional. We're literally like those robots in that game Stray where humanity has long since died off, but the robots still kinda just exist and eat RAMen and CPUoodles, just going through the motions of their programming because they don't know what else to do.
So let's talk reality when it comes to inflation. I have a weird habit of saving grocery receipts, I compared the same 15 grocery items that I buy every week or so, from January 2025 to January 2026, those items went up on average 15%, coffee up 30%, eggs down just 9%. My utilities went up 11%, all while trying to cut utility usage, my rent went up 10% this year, and lastly the price of gas in 2024 averaged $2.60/gal, in 2025 the average price was $3.35/gal, albeit it's currently down under $3.00/gal. This does not take into consideration the increase in healthcare premiums. Where is an inflation rate of 3.3% coming from, those of us in the real world know it's over 10%
We’ve been in a recession since 2022.
i believe burning warehouses are a pretty good metric to look at!
Take out companies related to AI or data centers and stocks are down 25% to 50% since 2022
the recession isn't coming, it's already here, it just hasn't updated its LinkedIn status yet
i hate i have to hear this from a stick figure, and not the figures in positions of power:(
We've been hearing "we're already in a recession" for 6 years now. And I still agree.
You can measure how bad a recession is by: -Wait times for Costco gas -Wait times for Costco chicken
It's starting to feel like we've been in a recession my whole life